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Tournament Predictions

2015 Winter Nationals Predictions

The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the USTA TennisLink website: BG18-16 & BG14-12.

Related Content: Pre-Tournament Ratings, Post-Tournament Analysis

Boys' 18 Singles B16 B14 B12 G18 G16 G14 G12
  Initial Predictions | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | QF | SF |  
UPSETSPrevious
Round
Totals Through
Prev. Round
Current
Round
Upsets by RatingHigher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches1127
Predicted Upsets033
Actual Upsets132
Difference-1 +1 
Seeded UpsetsHigher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches184
Predicted Upsets025
Actual Upsets122
Difference-1 +3 
Draw
Line
SeedSt. Player Name2nd
Round
3rd
Round
4th
Round
Quarter
Finals
Semi
Finals
FinalsWIN
1128A. Huang ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔³
11W. Genesen ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
8810J. Lui ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔³ ✔ 
59 M. Kiger ✔  ✔  ✔² ✔³ ✔ 
2917P. Barretto ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
12014M. Lord ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔³
47 A. Shekhera ✔  ✔¹ ✔³ ✔³
67 E. Morris ✔³ ✔² ✔² ✔³
1282K. Hance ✔  ✔  ✔ 
963J. Brumm ✔  ✔  ✔ 
1317B. Crane ✔  ✔  ✔¹
807A. Ambrozy ✔  ✔  ✔ 
5317K. Smith ✔  ✔  ✔³
334R. Ciamarra ✔  ✔  ✔ 
2117B. Lam ✔  ✔  ✔¹
10416J. Hing ✔² ✔² ✔²
495A. Brown ✔  ✔ 
99D. Horneffer ✔  ✔ 
62 A. Huryn ✔³ ✔ 
10817D. King ✔  ✔ 
97 C. Johnston ✔  ✔ 
123 J. Fung ✔¹ ✔ 
4111J. Rotheram ✔  ✔ 
69 M. Mendelsohn ✔  ✔ 
176C. Ross ✔  ✔ 
3717S. Burnette ✔² ✔ 
8 J. Carlin ✔  ✔³
83 B. Goldberg ✔¹ ✔ 
9217P. Conklin ✔² ✔²
114 B. Freestone ✔  ✔³
74 H. Brown ✔  ✔³
27 M. Lee ✔  ✔³
3 B. Rowe ✔ 
58 I. Thamma ✔¹
23 K. Sarita ✔ 
77 C. Easterling ✔ 
65 J. Suh ✔ 
517J. Allen ✔ 
32 C. Lee ✔ 
90 D. Harris ✔ 
99 S. Mermersky ✔³
102 D. Esses ✔ 
122 R. Krill ✔ 
71 K. Perera ✔³
11617M. Freeman ✔ 
117 E. Yoo ✔ 
7617Y. Parikh ✔ 
16 S. Cameron ✔ 
2515W. Demulling ✔²
19 J. Conlin ✔ 
64 M. Wu ✔ 
106 M. Dill ✔²
40 A. Mascioli ✔ 
11 M. Iwahiro ✔ 
36 P. Mendoza ✔ 
125 J. Lee ✔ 
55 V. Joshi ✔²
44 M. Sable ✔ 
82 J. Wareti ✔ 
94 W. Harper ✔²
52 A. Cazier ✔²
109 J. Berber ✔ 
85 P. Lohrbach ✔²
4517K. Ellen ✔²
91 M. Cancilla
6117P. Holden
86 N. Makarome
4 B. Pelletier
103 K. Kumar
50 D. Goulak
98 M. Zhao
38 V. Rettke
10017A. Sharma
6817J. Star
127 B. Draheim
95 K. Ma
79 R. Lan
14 Z. Brodney
60 N. Schachter
7213P. Ahmadi
2 J. Tascher
34 M. Militzer
66 J. Speicher
78 A. Kovacevic
54 N. Niemiec
30 C. Wilson
26 A. Kuperstein
8417P. Spencer
5712N. Beaty
105 D. Barretto
107 S. Brown
18 B. Wayand
56 J. Jhattu
89 J. McAllister
10 R. Torres
46 N. Eazor
87 A. Rodriguez
12417D. Levitt
15 E. Kerrigan
70 J. Edelchik
113 R. Smithline
93 H. Egger
118 C. Bartlett
75 E. Hillis
28 N. Kaplan
51 T. Tuff
20 J. Cobb
63 C. Alenik
121 J. Drake
7 M. Fernandez
6 M. Galvin
22 I. Witmer
12 C. Chung
42 N. Glover
81 B. Berdusco
39 S. Bickel
119 W. Saiga
35 A. Chieffalo
111 A. Hill
43 J. Nardini
31 D. Francken
24 N. Dell
115 J. Holtmann
126 T. Bickel
48 R. Kennedy
101 E. Hsieh
110 A. Exsted
73 L. Koblence
✔  denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player
The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.
 

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Page updated on Monday, April 11, 2016 at 12:09:23 AM
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