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Tournament Predictions

2015 US Open Predictions
The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the official US Open website.
 
Boys' Singles Girls' Singles Men's Singles Women's Singles
  Initial Predictions | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | QF | SF |  
UPSETSPrevious
Round
Totals Through
Prev. Round
Current
Round
Upsets by RatingHigher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches163
Predicted Upsets018
Actual Upsets015
Difference0+3 
Seeded UpsetsHigher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches144
Predicted Upsets012
Actual Upsets08
Difference0+4 
Draw
Line
SeedNat. Player Name2nd
Round
3rd
Round
Quarter
Finals
Semi
Finals
FinalsWIN
11T. Fritz ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
335T. Paul ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔¹ ✔ 
2511C. Yunseong ✔  ✔  ✔³ ✔³
51 A. De Minaur ✔  ✔  ✔³ ✔³
642M. Mmoh ✔  ✔  ✔ 
173M. Ymer ✔  ✔  ✔ 
484S. Hong ✔  ✔  ✔ 
13 A. Rybakov ✔  ✔³ ✔ 
326R. Opelka ✔  ✔ 
5714A. Santillan ✔  ✔ 
569W. Blumberg ✔  ✔ 
4010C. Denolly ✔  ✔ 
4113L. Harris ✔  ✔ 
816S. Tsitsipas ✔  ✔ 
2415C. Ruud ✔² ✔ 
10 D. Shapovalov ✔³ ✔ 
167O. Luz ✔ 
35 F. Auger-Aliassime ✔ 
5 B. Zapata Miralles ✔ 
45 A. Pellegrino ✔²
20 M. Kecmanovic ✔ 
27 P. Rikl ✔ 
12 U. Blanch ✔ 
38 N. Borges ✔²
50 J. Yamasaki ✔³
3 Y. Takahashi ✔ 
44 S. Fukuda ✔²
29 Y. Watanuki ✔²
22 P. Kypson ✔²
60 C. Oh ✔²
62 L. Wessels ✔ 
54 JJ Wolf ✔²
53 M. Valkusz
23 N. Kuhn
498M. Barrios Vera
46 E. Nava
42 S. Riffice
912N. Ly
37 N. Ponwith
58 D. Karimov
39 P. Niklas-Salminen
47 J. Ficovich
30 M. Pena Lopez
2 U. Humbert
21 G. Blancaneaux
63 E. Furness
43 J. Nikles
55 L. Klein
6 D. Klok
59 F. Capalbo
15 T. Sandkaulen
4 G. Espin Busleiman
18 V. Kirkov
26 G. Ross
36 T. Wu
7 F. Bonacia
52 A. Rotsaert
11 B. Hannestad
34 M. Siimar
61 Y. Hossam
31 A. Tabilo
19 M. Osmakcic
14 F. Cunha Silva
28 J. Delaney
✔  denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player
The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.
 

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Page updated on Monday, April 11, 2016 at 12:09:25 AM
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